Showing posts with label war. Show all posts
Showing posts with label war. Show all posts

Sunday 14 January 2024

On the heels of the International Court of Justice hearings it appears that the United Nations Security Council is not inclined to accept Israel's stance at face value


Now that Australia - along with Bahrain, Canada, Netherlands and the United Kingdom - has committed itself to military and/or logistical support of the United States plan to curb Houthi attacks on merchant and commercial shipping transiting the Red Sea, the potential exists when combined with ongoing American airstrikes on sites in Yemen along with Israeli cross-border missile exchanges with Lebanon and US reciprocating when its military bases in Iraq & Syria were threatened by allegedly Iran-backed militias after 7 October 2023, for a wider Middle East war to develop. 


It is perhaps time ordinary folk in this country began to acquaint themselves with more details as to both the growing conflict and international moves to limit the risks. As opposed to relying solely on media opinion. 


On the heels of the conclusion of the two-day sitting of the International Court Of Justice (The Hague) in the matter of South Africa v Israel - in which a provisional ruling on the Israel Likud Government's intent and actions as it continues its war on Gaza and the Palestinian people - the United Nations Security Council was also sitting in New York to consider the question of Palestine and in particular statements proposing the permanent resettlement the Palestinian people outside of the Palestinian territories in a third country.



United Nations Security Council, media release

12 January 2024:


9531ST MEETING (PM)

SC/15564


12 JANUARY 2024


As Israel’s Aerial Bombardments Intensify, ‘There Is No Safe Place in Gaza’, Humanitarian Affairs Chief Warns Security Council


Delegates Reject Statements Proposing Palestinians Resettle Outside Territory


A staggering 85 per cent of the total population of Gaza — 1.9 million civilians — have been forcibly displaced amid Israel’s military operations, the United Nations Emergency Relief Coordinator told the Security Council today, as delegates categorically rejected any statements proposing that Palestinians should be resettled outside of Gaza, including from members of the Israeli Government.


Martin Griffiths, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator, painted a grim picture of the horrific situation in Gaza, where more than 23,000 people have been killed and more than 58,000 injured since 7 October. Shelters are overflowing, food and water running out, the risk of famine growing by the day and the health system collapsing, with winter “exacerbating the struggle to survive”. Describing as “deplorable” that facilities critical to the survival of civilians have come under relentless attack, he said that, as ground operations move southwards, aerial bombardments have intensified in areas where civilians were told to relocate for their safety.


More and more people are being crammed into an ever-smaller sliver of land, only to find yet more violence and deprivation, inadequate shelter and a near absence of the most basic services,” he continued. “There is no safe place in Gaza” and dignified human life is “a near impossibility,” he said, adding: “Even if people were able to return home, many no longer have homes to go to.” Warning that the spread of hostilities further southwards would significantly increase pressure for the mass displacement of people into neighbouring countries, he firmly rejected any attempt to change the demographic composition of Gaza.


Ilze Brands Kehris, Assistant Secretary-General for Human Rights, recalled that massive displacement in the enclave commenced on 12 October 2023, with Israel ordering Palestinian civilians north of the Wadi Gaza to vacate their homes and go south. However, such compelled evacuation failed to comply with international law and could amount to forcible transfer — a war crime, she asserted.


Warning against the risks of further massive displacement — potentially even beyond Gaza’s borders — she said incendiary statements by some members of Israel’s leadership pushing for permanent resettlement of Palestinians overseas have entrenched fears that Palestinians are being deliberately forced out of Gaza. Their right to return home must be subject to “an ironclad guarantee” and Israel must support their return by restoring essential services and facilitating the necessary reconstruction of Gaza, given that the scale of destruction and the presence of unprecedented levels of explosive remnants of war represent major obstacles to their return.


In the ensuing discussion, numerous delegates rejected recent statements by Israeli ministers vis-à-vis plans to encourage the mass transfer of civilians from Gaza to third countries. Warning against a deepening humanitarian crisis and woefully inadequate aid levels, many called for an urgent and permanent ceasefire in Gaza.


Algeria’s delegate underscored that the barbaric bombardment of Gaza and targeting of all signs of life is clearly aimed at killing “the hope of returning home in the hearts and minds of Palestinians.” Many officials of the occupying Power seek to terminate the Palestinian question by evacuating the entire occupied territory, he observed, rejecting the forced displacement as “there is no place for Palestinians except on their land”.


The representative of the United States rejected statements by some Israeli ministers calling for a resettlement of Palestinians outside of Gaza and opposed the advancement of settlements in the West Bank, highlighting her country’s visa restrictions against individuals who are undermining peace there. Concurrently, she expressed concern over some Council members’ refusal to condemn Hamas.


The representative of the Russian Federation cited the threat of forced transfer of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and the West Bank as “part of the bloody puzzle that makes up the picture of the catastrophic humanitarian situation in Gaza”. Civilian infrastructure in Gaza has been practically destroyed, while United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) institutions — providing refuge to forcibly transferred persons — have continued to be subjected to Israeli bombings, he observed.


Along similar lines, China’s delegate categorically rejected any forced displacement of the Palestinian people, noting that the “voluntary emigration” from Gaza that some Israeli leaders have called for would mean driving 2 million people out. That would constitute an atrocity crime under international law and destroy the prospect of the two-State solution, he said, also highlighting that Israel has placed numerous obstacles that block access to humanitarian supplies.


The Permanent Observer for the State of Palestine said that, “in 100 days, virtually every Palestinian in Gaza has been displaced multiple times, from a home to a UN shelter to a tent — searching for safety everywhere, finding safety nowhere; searching for life anywhere, met by death everywhere.” Noting that the Palestinian people have been stripped of their right to live in freedom and dignity on their land for decades, he opposed Israel’s criminal vision offering only three options: death, exodus or subjugation.


Israel’s delegate, meanwhile, stated that “every UN body is weaponized against Israel by the Palestinians” and South Africa’s libellous case at the International Court of Justice is the epitome of the UN’s dystopian reality. “There is no forced displacement,” he said, citing his Prime Minister’s statement that Israel has no intention of displacing the population. Instead, Israel is fighting Hamas terrorists, who use Gazans as human shields, he pointed out, adding that his Government requested the temporary evacuation of civilians to mitigate civilian casualties.


THE SITUATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST, INCLUDING THE PALESTINIAN QUESTION


Briefings


MARTIN GRIFFITHS, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator, said that, for nearly 100 days, what has been unfolding in Israel and the Occupied Palestinian Territory is a war conducted with almost no regard for the impact on civilians. In Gaza, the situation remains horrific as relentless Israeli military operations continue, with the tens of thousands of people killed and injured, the vast majority women and children. According to the Ministry of Health in Gaza, more than 23,000 people have now been killed and more than 58,000 injured since 7 October. A staggering 85 per cent of the total population — 1.9 million civilians — were forcibly displaced, traumatized and forced to flee again and again as the bombs and missiles rained down. Highlighting the appalling conditions on the ground, he said shelters are overflowing, and food and water running out, and the risk of famine growing by the day. The health system is in a state of collapse: women are unable to give birth safely; children cannot get vaccinated; the sick and injured cannot get treatment; and infectious diseases are on the rise.


Now winter has arrived in Gaza, bringing with it bitter cold, exacerbating the struggle to survive,” he said, describing as “deplorable” that facilities critical to the survival of the civilian population have come under relentless attack. A total of 134 United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) facilities have been hit and 148 UN personnel and non-governmental organization staff have been killed in Gaza. “Humanitarian sites have been struck on numerous occasions, despite their identification and notification to the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF),” he asserted. As ground operations move southwards, aerial bombardments have intensified in areas where civilians were told to relocate for their safety. “More and more people are being crammed into an ever-smaller sliver of land, only to find yet more violence and deprivation, inadequate shelter and a near absence of the most basic services,” he stressed.


There is no safe place in Gaza,” he said, noting that dignified human life is “a near impossibility”. Rafah, where the pre-crisis population was around just 280,000 people, is now home to 1 million displaced persons. UN efforts to send humanitarian convoys to the north have been met with delays, denials and the imposition of impossible conditions. The lack of respect for the humanitarian notification system puts every movement of aid workers in danger, as do the wholly insufficient quantities of armoured vehicles. “Corpses left lying in the road; people with evident signs of starvation stopping trucks in search of anything they can get to survive,” he said, describing scenes of utter horror in the north. “Even if people were able to return home, many no longer have homes to go to,” he said. Describing the provision of humanitarian assistance across Gaza as “almost impossible”, he pointed to “largely absent” access to Khan Younis and the Middle Area.


He went on to underscore that, while there has been some minor increase in the number of trucks entering via Rafah and Kerem Shalom, humanitarian supplies alone will not be able to sustain more than 2 million people. The system for medical evacuation of patients to Egypt is also woefully inadequate in the face of the massive needs. In these circumstances, the spread of hostilities further southwards would significantly increase pressure for the mass displacement of people into neighbouring countries. Some countries have already offered to host civilians who want to leave Gaza for their protection, he said, emphasizing that any persons displaced from Gaza must be allowed to return. Sounding deep alarm over recent statements by Israeli ministers vis-à-vis plans to encourage the mass transfer of civilians from Gaza to third countries, currently being referred to as “voluntary relocation”, he stressed that “any attempt to change the demographic composition of Gaza must be firmly rejected”.


While Gaza is the epicentre of this crisis, let us not forget the 1,200 people killed, thousands injured, and hundreds taken in the brutal attack by Hamas and other armed groups on Israel on 7 October, and the accounts of abhorrent sexual violence,” he said, adding that rocket-fire continues into populated areas of Israel, causing more civilian casualties and trauma. Also, more than 100,000 people have been displaced within Israel as a result of the 7 October attack by Hamas and other armed groups and due to ongoing rocket fire from armed groups in Gaza and Lebanon. Expressing extreme concern about the risk of a further regional spread of this conflict, he spotlighted increasing tension and hostilities in the West Bank and an alarming increase in settler violence. The upsurge in tensions and military activity in Lebanon, the Red Sea and Yemen demonstrates that “we cannot allow this to metastasize further” as “the consequences of a wider conflagration would be unimaginable”, he warned. “What we have seen since 7 October is a stain on our collective conscience; unless we act, it will become an indelible mark on our humanity,” he said, urging for a ceasefire and calling on the Council to take urgent action to bring this war to an end.


ILZE BRANDS KEHRIS, Assistant Secretary-General for Human Rights, described the current conditions in Gaza as “not just a by-product of conflict, but the direct result of the manner in which hostilities have been conducted”. Massive displacement in the enclave commenced on 12 October 2023 with Israel ordering Palestinian civilians north of the Wadi Gaza to vacate their homes and go south. Israel, however, has made “scant provision” to ensure such relocations comply with international law, failing to ensure access to appropriate hygiene, health, safety, nutrition and shelter. Such compelled evacuations could amount to forcible transfer, a war crime. Many civilians have sought in vain to find locations safe from Israel’s massive bombardment and other military operations.


Compounding a 17-year blockade imposed by Israel, the occupying Power is failing in its obligations to facilitate entry of sufficient aid and essential commercial goods into Gaza, she said. More than 90 per cent of the population is now suffering from acute food insecurity — many on the brink of avoidable human-made famine. Starvation of the civilian population as a method of war is prohibited, she warned, pointing to serious concerns about the potential commission of war crimes, as evidenced in the unacceptably high civilian casualty rate, the nearly complete destruction of essential civilian infrastructure, the displacement of most of the population and the abominable humanitarian conditions in which 2.2 million people are being forced to endure. The risk of further grave violations, even atrocity crimes, is real. With people desperate for safety and security, the Council must be alive to the risks of further massive displacement, potentially even beyond Gaza’s borders.


In that regard, incendiary statements by some members of Israel’s leadership pushing for permanent resettlement of Palestinians overseas have entrenched fears that Palestinians are being deliberately forced out of Gaza. Their right to return to home must be subject to “an ironclad guarantee”. Israel, as the occupying Power, must support their return by restoring essential services and facilitating the necessary reconstruction of Gaza, given that the scale of destruction and the presence of unprecedented levels of explosive remnants of war represent major obstacles to their near-term return home.


An immediate ceasefire and the unconditional release of all hostages are indispensable first steps towards a durable solution, she stressed, insisting that the protection of civilians must be prioritized. Settler violence in the West Bank must also be condemned and accountability must be vigorously pursued. “This current violence comes in the context of decades of human rights violations,” she said, emphasizing the need to address the underlying root causes of conflict, including accountability for violations committed before, on and since 7 October. An enduring peace can be built only by ensuring justice and the rights of all peoples — both of Palestinians and Israelis, she asserted.


Statements


AMAR BENDJAMA (Algeria) stated that what is happening in Gaza “will remain a disgrace on the conscience of humanity”. He asked if it is not enough to kill 10,000 children, injure more than 60,000 people and destroy more than 60 per cent of the buildings in Gaza, and for the entire population to face the risk of famine. The barbaric bombardment of Gaza and targeting of all signs of life is clearly aimed at killing “the hope of returning home in the hearts and minds of Palestinians”, he said. He noted that many officials of the occupying Power seek to terminate the Palestinian question by evacuating the entire occupied territory — as while the focus is on Gaza, “we must not forget the West Bank and Jerusalem.” Rejecting the forced displacement as “there is no place for Palestinians except on their land,” he called for an urgent and permanent ceasefire in Gaza.


LINDA THOMAS-GREENFIELD (United States) observed: “It has been more than three months since Hamas carried out the deadliest attacks against Jews since the Holocaust and set this conflict in motion”. Israel has committed to have the United Nations send an assessment team to north Gaza, she said, rejecting statements by some Israeli ministers calling for a resettlement of Palestinians outside of Gaza. Statements by Israeli officials calling for the mistreatment of Palestinian detainees or the destruction of Gaza are irresponsible, but she also expressed concern over some Council members’ refusal to condemn Hamas. On the unprecedented rise in violence in the West Bank, she noted that Palestinian extremist militants are carrying out attacks against Israeli civilians. Opposing the advancement of settlements in the West Bank, she highlighted her country’s visa restrictions against individuals who are undermining peace there. Further, the Palestinian Authority must make steps towards reform and revitalization, and Israel must release revenues that allow the Authority to pay its security forces. “At this profoundly difficult moment, the United States has stepped up” to advance a vision for a lasting peace, she added.


VASSILY A. NEBENZIA (Russian Federation) expressed concern over the threat of forced transfer of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, guided by unlawful steps taken by the West and Jerusalem. “This is only part of the bloody puzzle that makes up the picture of the catastrophic humanitarian situation in Gaza,” he said, spotlighting the 23,000 deaths and the thousands still buried under ruins. Given the pace and power of strikes in populated areas, civilian infrastructure in Gaza has been practically destroyed. Further, most internally displaced or forcibly transferred persons have found refuge in UNRWA institutions that — despite their status — have continued to be subjected to Israeli bombings. This ghastly humanitarian situation demonstrates how catastrophic it could be to continue ignoring international law. While the 7 October attacks were reprehensible, they cannot legitimize Israel’s subsequent, indiscriminate use of force. Highlighting the Council’s failure to adopt a resolution unequivocally calling for an immediate ceasefire, he warned against further escalation.


JOSÉ JAVIER DE LA GASCA (Ecuador), recalling that his delegation called for an end to inflammatory statements more than a year ago, expressed regret that today’s meeting was convened exactly because of such rhetoric. The Council has clearly rejected the forced displacement of the civilian population of Gaza, including children, in violation of international law. Citing resolutions 2712 (2023) and 2720 (2023), he deplored that the Council’s decisions have had a limited impact on the ground. Obviously, without a humanitarian ceasefire, those decisions cannot be implemented. However, “we cannot lose heart”, he said, urging the international community to do everything possible to improve the situation. He went on to condemn Hamas’ atrocious terrorist acts and called for both the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages and for humanitarian-access guarantees.


BARBARA WOODWARD (United Kingdom) firmly rejected any statements proposing that Palestinians should be resettled outside of Gaza, including from members of the Israeli Government. She voiced alarm that since 7 October, at least 198 Palestinian households, including 586 children, have been displaced following an increase in extremist settler violence, calling on the Government of Israel to not only condemn that violence but also take direct action. Warning that current aid levels into Gaza are woefully inadequate and deepening the humanitarian crisis, she noted that the World Food Programme (WFP) reports that 9 out of 10 people there have less than one meal a day. She called for a sustainable ceasefire in which Hamas no longer poses a threat to Israel’s security, aid is delivered without hindrance and Palestinians can return to the areas of Gaza from which they have been displaced — further noting that immediate, sustained humanitarian pauses will also allow for hostages to be released.


ZHANG JUN (China), noting that more than 23,000 people in Gaza have lost their lives, said that hundreds of thousands of people are struggling to survive in makeshift tents. Though an immediate ceasefire has become the overwhelming call of the international community, a permanent Council member has been using excuses to veto consensus. Some people talk constantly about the protection of human rights and prevention of genocide while stonewalling and deflecting attention from the appalling situation in Gaza, he added. Any forced displacement of the Palestinian people must be firmly rejected, he stressed, pointing out that the “voluntary emigration” from Gaza that some Israeli leaders have called for would mean driving 2 million people out. That would constitute an atrocity crime under international law and would destroy the prospect of the two-State solution. On the dire humanitarian situation, he noted that Israel has placed numerous obstacles that block access to humanitarian supplies. Welcoming the Secretary-General’s proposal to appoint Sigrid Kaag as United Nations Senior Humanitarian and Reconstruction Coordinator for Gaza, he underscored that only a ceasefire can prevent greater civilian casualties and create conditions for the early release of all hostages.


VANESSA FRAZIER (Malta) underscored the urgent need to facilitate the delivery of humanitarian aid into and within Gaza, including through the opening of additional crossing points. Further, all arbitrary bureaucratic impediments to humanitarian operations must cease, the safety of UN staff and humanitarian workers must be secured and the remaining hostages held by Hamas in Gaza must be immediately released. Establishing a humanitarian ceasefire is the only way to mount a meaningful humanitarian response throughout the entirety of Gaza, she stressed. Such a cessation of hostilities is also critical within the context of displaced Palestinian people, who must either be allowed to return to their homes or be provided with adequate, safe shelter until their homes are rebuilt. Accordingly, she rejected any attempt to forcibly transfer Palestinians out of Gaza, adding that Israeli settler violence is “unacceptable”.


YAMAZAKI KAZUYUKI (Japan) noted the unimaginable extent of human suffering in Gaza, warning that famine is imminent and humanity is in crisis. The international community must continue to work with a greater sense of urgency towards alleviating the humanitarian disaster in Gaza. While the Council adopted resolutions 2712 (2023) and 2720 (2023), their effective implementation regrettably remains elusive due to the ongoing heavy fighting. “As violent regional spillover is already happening, what is most urgent is the de-escalation of the conflict,” he said, rejecting the recent inflammatory rhetoric by Israeli ministers on the “resettlement” of Palestinians outside of Gaza. Any attempt to forcibly displace the Palestinian people is inconsistent with relevant Council resolutions and violates international law, he said, stressing the need to create conditions to enable displaced Palestinians to return home safely while noting reports that Israel has agreed to allow the United Nations to carry out an assessment mission in northern Gaza.


SAMUEL ZBOGAR (Slovenia) expressed concern over statements made by some Israeli ministers proposing the mass displacement of Palestinians from Gaza, which would constitute a potential war crime under international humanitarian law. Noting that 85 per cent of Gazans have been displaced amid military operations, he called for humanitarian aid to be scaled up. He also expressed support for the appointment of Sigrid Kaag as Senior Humanitarian and Reconstruction Coordinator for Gaza, where essential infrastructure is damaged and no place is deemed safe. Hamas’ brutal acts — while unacceptable — cannot justify the disproportionate destruction of life and civilian infrastructure in Gaza, he stressed. “Condemning the statements on displacement is not enough,” he added, underlining the need to prevent actions leading to displacement. He therefore called for an immediate ceasefire to halt the destruction, facilitate the release of hostages and restore calm to the region.


MICHAEL IMRAN KANU (Sierra Leone) condemned in the strongest terms the heinous attack against Israeli civilians by Hamas and the taking of hostages, calling for their immediate and unconditional release. He further strongly condemned attacks on Palestinian civilians and infrastructure and collective punishment, rejecting any attempt to remove Palestinians from the Gaza Strip or the West Bank either temporarily or long-term. Voicing regret over the reported killing of about 23,000 Palestinian civilians, as well as the ultimate cost paid by UN and other humanitarian workers and journalists, he called for accountability for all those guilty of crimes against international humanitarian law. Expressing grave concern over the severe humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip, he called for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire, which would bring an end to atrocities and reduce regional tensions.


SANGJIN KIM (Republic of Korea), condemning Hamas’ attack on Israel, said that Gaza has become “a place of death and despair”. Even hospitals are targets for military operations and air strikes, he said, adding that there has been little improvement on the humanitarian front despite the adoption of resolutions 2712 (2023) and 2720 (2023). “Countless trucks with humanitarian aid from numerous countries are lining up waiting for their turn to enter Gaza,” he said. Underscoring Palestinians’ right to live on their own land, he expressed concern over comments by high-level Israeli officials about the so-called “voluntary migration” of Palestinians out of Gaza. Resolution 2334 (2016) clearly condemns all measures aimed at altering the demographic composition, character and status of Palestinian territory. “Gaza must not be resettled,” he stressed, adding that such inflammatory rhetoric does not help to ease the tensions that are now widespread across the Middle East.


CAROLYN RODRIGUES-BIRKETT (Guyana) expressed concern over the forced displacement of Palestinians in Gaza since 7 October, noting multiple instances of this within the territory. In this context, she sounded alarm over statements by certain officials suggesting that Palestinians in Gaza should be forcibly transferred to countries in the region and elsewhere. “Palestinian men, women and children have been herded into smaller and smaller spaces in the Gaza Strip and forced to eke out an existence in the most inhumane conditions and without an adequate supply of food, water, medicine, fuel and other basic items essential for survival,” she said. Further, displaced persons live with the constant threat of bombs killing or maiming them and their loved ones. Calling for an immediate ceasefire, she warned: “Displacement will continue, because people will have to keep moving in the hope of finding safety somewhere in the hell that is Gaza right now.”


DOMINGOS ESTÊVÃO FERNANDES (Mozambique) warned that regional escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has reached the highest level, underscoring the imperative that fighting must cease immediately before the consequences spread any further or before it is too late to stop and limit its repercussions. Council members have an obligation to ensure moderation and restraint. International laws must take precedence over these actions. “An immediate ceasefire is our best hope,” he said, as it would allow humanitarian access under Council resolutions 2712 (2023) and 2720 (2023). Most importantly, it would potentially enable negotiations towards peace and a two-State solution: Israel and Palestine coexisting peacefully in accordance with the relevant resolutions of the Council and the General Assembly.


ADRIAN DOMINIK HAURI (Switzerland) condemned the unjustifiable acts of terror committed by Hamas on 7 October, reiterating the call for all hostages still held in Gaza to be immediately and unconditionally released. Noting that, since that day, more than 23,400 people have been killed and more than 59,600 injured — with 85 per cent of the population of Gaza forced to flee — he condemned all statements aimed at expelling civilians from the Occupied Palestinian Territory. He also called for an urgent increase in humanitarian aid into Gaza, warning that famine is already affecting half a million Gazans and observing that the use of starvation as a method of warfare “may constitute a war crime”. On that, he recalled that the International Criminal Court is investigating the situation in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, covering both the events of 7 October and those currently taking place in Gaza and the West Bank.


NICOLAS DE RIVIÈRE (France), Council President for January, speaking in his national capacity, echoed the call for a lasting ceasefire, adding that this is vital to facilitate the delivery of humanitarian aid to the civilians in Gaza. His country will continue to provide humanitarian, financial and material aid to the Gaza Strip. Calling for the immediate release of all hostages, he said the Council must condemn the attacks perpetrated by Hamas and other terrorist groups on 7 October 2023. France will continue its work to impose sanctions against Hamas at a European level, he added, also expressing support for the two-State solution, with both States having Jerusalem as their capital. “We must work to build a State for the Palestinian people”, he said, highlighting the pivotal role of the Palestinian Authority in that process. Condemning Israel’s settlement policy, he said it is crucial to put an end to settler violence in the West Bank. “France staunchly condemns the Houthi attacks against commercial vessels in the Red Sea”, he said, adding that “these undermine navigational rights and freedoms”.


RIYAD MANSOUR, Permanent Observer for the State of Palestine, thanked South Africa for its moral leadership with the case it presented before the International Court of Justice against Israel for genocide. The world is watching a Nakba unfold, he said, adding that 70 per cent of Palestinians in Gaza are already refugees who were denied their right of return for decades now. Many of the people in Gaza have had their homes destroyed in previous assaults. Palestinians in Gaza today mourn their loved ones, and mourn their homes, that they built and rebuilt for themselves and their families. “In 100 days, virtually every Palestinian in Gaza has been displaced multiple times, from a home to a UN shelter to a tent — searching for safety everywhere, finding safety nowhere; searching for life anywhere, met by death everywhere,” he said, stating: Israel “killed and maimed our children, our doctors, our journalists, our engineers, our poets, our academics”.


While Israel was hoping Palestinians would leave under the pressure of its bombardments, they have not; now it is hoping they will leave because of the destruction the bombs have left behind, he continued. “Our people have a simple dream, to live in freedom and dignity on their land,” he said, stressing that they have been stripped of their right for decades. With mass killings of Palestinians by Israel continuing, death is everywhere and “starvation, dehydration, disease are spreading like wildfire”. Israel wants the Palestinian people to choose between destruction and displacement, between genocide and ethnic cleansing, he asserted, opposing the supremacist, racist and criminal vision that this conflict could end by Palestinians accepting that they have only three options: death, exodus or subjugation. “All those who want to see shared peace and security should not spread fire. They must support an immediate ceasefire” he declared.


GILAD MENASHE ERDAN (Israel) said that none of the resolutions adopted by the Council and the General Assembly condemned Hamas for their massacre of 1,300 Israelis. Not a single discussion has been dedicated to advance the release of hostages. During these 100 days, not once did the Council convene to focus on a baby held hostage. The United Nations has lost all moral credibility. He recalled that 76 years ago, the Organization represented a moment of justice and morality when the General Assembly decided to establish a Jewish State and an Arab State. Israel accepted the decision, while the Palestinians rejected it and have used every means to annihilate Jews, including by using the United Nations as a weapon. “Every UN body is weaponized against Israel by the Palestinians,” he said.


He said that the Arab League representative on the Council found it crucial to discuss the force displacement of Gazans in the same week that Gaza was already discussed. “There is no forced displacement,” he said, citing his Prime Minister’s statement that Israel has no intention of displacing the population. Israel is solely fighting Hamas terrorists, who use Gazans as human shields. To mitigate civilian casualties, Israel requested the temporary evacuation of civilians. Over 1 million Afghan-Muslims are being forcibly removed from their homes in Pakistan, but the Council has not convened even once to focus solely on defending their rights. Why? Because “no Jews, no news”.


In 2023, the Assembly passed more resolutions against Israel than against Iran, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Syria combined. The Emergency Relief Coordinator said that Gaza’s humanitarian situation is the worst he has ever seen. But didn’t he see the killings by Cambodia’s Khmer Rouge and 400,000 Yemenis murdered? The list of different UN bodies that have been weaponized against Israel is endless. But of all, there is one that puts all others to shame — the Human Rights Council. Of its 47 members, only 17 actually uphold human rights. South Africa’s libelous case at the International Court of Justice is the epitome of the UN’s dystopian reality. The Convention on the Prevention of Genocide adopted following the genocide of the Jewish people is now being weaponized against the State while serving Hamas perpetrators.


Mr. BENDJAMA (Algeria), taking the floor a second time, thanked his colleagues for their substantive contributions regarding the forced displacement of the Palestinian population. There is consensus within the Council on the need to categorically reject any project aiming to directly or indirectly bring about such displacement — a rare and invaluable consensus that will reverberate around the world. He stressed that, in his region, the United Nations and the Council must restore their credibility and rebuild trust.


PALESTINIAN ISSUES | MIDDLE EAST | ISRAEL | STATE OF PALESTINE


~ENDS~


Tuesday 31 January 2023

Climate Change & Putin's aggression see the Doomsday Clock at 90 seconds to midnight in January 2023


The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is a media organization, publishing a free-access website and a bimonthly magazine. It began as an emergency action, created by scientists who saw an immediate need for a public reckoning in the aftermath of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

Since 1947 it has published the Doomsday Clock, which to date has been updated a total of 24 times. “The closer the clocks’ hands move toward midnight, the closer humanity supposedly moves toward self-inflicted destruction. As well as assessing risks from nuclear war, the scientists incorporate dangers from climate change, bioweapons and more.” [Time Magazine, 24 January 2023]


Science and Security Board, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 2023 Doomsday Clock Statement, 24 January 2023:


A time of unprecedented danger: It is 90 seconds to midnight


This year, the Science and Security Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moves the hands of the Doomsday Clock forward, largely (though not exclusively) because of the mounting dangers of the war in Ukraine. The Clock now stands at 90 seconds to midnight—the closest to global catastrophe it has ever been.


The war in Ukraine may enter a second horrifying year, with both sides convinced they can win. Ukraine’s sovereignty and broader European security arrangements that have largely held since the end of World War II are at stake. Also, Russia’s war on Ukraine has raised profound questions about how states interact, eroding norms of international conduct that underpin successful responses to a variety of global risks.


And worst of all, Russia’s thinly veiled threats to use nuclear weapons remind the world that escalation of the conflict—by accident, intention, or miscalculation—is a terrible risk. The possibility that the conflict could spin out of anyone’s control remains high.


Russia’s recent actions contravene decades of commitments by Moscow. In 1994, Russia joined the United States and United Kingdom in Budapest, Hungary, to solemnly declare that it would "respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine" and "refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine..." These assurances were made explicitly on the understanding that Ukraine would relinquish nuclear weapons on its soil and sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty—both of which Ukraine did.


Russia has also brought its war to the Chernobyl and Zaporizhzhia nuclear reactor sites, violating international protocols and risking widespread release of radioactive materials. Efforts by the International Atomic Energy Agency to secure these plants so far have been rebuffed.


As Russia’s war on Ukraine continues, the last remaining nuclear weapons treaty between Russia and the United States, New START, stands in jeopardy. Unless the two parties resume negotiations and find a basis for further reductions, the treaty will expire in February 2026. This would eliminate mutual inspections, deepen mistrust, spur a nuclear arms race, and heighten the possibility of a nuclear exchange.


As UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned in August, the world has entered “a time of nuclear danger not seen since the height of the Cold War.”


The war’s effects are not limited to an increase in nuclear danger; they also undermine global efforts to combat climate change. Countries dependent on Russian oil and gas have sought to diversify their supplies and suppliers, leading to expanded investment in natural gas exactly when such investment should have been shrinking.


In the context of a hot war and against the backdrop of nuclear threats, Russia’s false accusations that Ukraine planned to use radiological dispersal devices, chemical weapons, and biological weapons take on new meaning as well. The continuing stream of disinformation about bioweapons laboratories in Ukraine raises concerns that Russia itself may be thinking of deploying such weapons, which many experts believe it continues to develop.


Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has increased the risk of nuclear weapons use, raised the specter of biological and chemical weapons use, hamstrung the world’s response to climate change, and hampered international efforts to deal with other global concerns. The invasion and annexation of Ukrainian territory have also violated international norms in ways that may embolden others to take actions that challenge previous understandings and threaten stability.


There is no clear pathway for forging a just peace that discourages future aggression under the shadow of nuclear weapons. But at a minimum, the United States must keep the door open to principled engagement with Moscow that reduces the dangerous increase in nuclear risk the war has fostered. One element of risk reduction could involve sustained, high-level US military-to-military contacts with Russia to reduce the likelihood of miscalculation. The US government, its NATO allies, and Ukraine have a multitude of channels for dialogue; they all should be explored. Finding a path to serious peace negotiations could go a long way toward reducing the risk of escalation. In this time of unprecedented global danger, concerted action is required, and every second counts.


Countervailing dynamics: Addressing climate change during the invasion of Ukraine


Addressing climate change requires faith in institutions of multilateral governance. The geopolitical fissure opened by the invasion of Ukraine has weakened the global will to cooperate while undermining confidence in the durability, or even the feasibility, of broad-based multilateral collaboration.


With Russia second only to the United States in global production of both natural gas and oil, the invasion of Ukraine sparked a rush to establish independence from Russian energy supplies, particularly in the European Union. From the standpoint of climate change, this has contributed to two countervailing dynamics.


First, the elevated energy prices have spurred investment in renewables and motivated countries to implement policies that support renewables development. With this rise in deployment, the International Energy Agency now projects that wind and solar energy combined will approach 20 percent of global power generation five years from now, with China installing nearly half of the new renewable power capacity.


At the same time, however, high natural gas prices have driven a quest to develop new gas supplies, spurring investment in natural gas production and export infrastructure in the United States, the EU, Africa, and elsewhere, largely financed by major oil and gas transnationals and investment firms. This private capital continues to flow into developing new fossil fuel resources, even while public finance is facing pressure to pull out. All G7 countries have pledged to end public financing of international fossil fuel projects this year, and the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance, a group of eight countries, has formally committed to end new concessions, licensing or leasing rounds for oil and gas production and exploration, and to set a timeline for ending production that is consistent with their Paris agreement pledges.


Notwithstanding these two processes, both of which should in principle reduce demand for Russian gas, Russia was on course in 2022 to earn as much as the previous year from oil and gas exports, largely owing to continued European demand.


As a consequence, global carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels, after having rebounded from the COVID economic decline to an all-time high in 2021, continued to rise in 2022 and hit another record high. A decline in Chinese emissions was overshadowed by a rise in the United States, India, and elsewhere…. 

Wednesday 20 July 2022

"In the earnings reports, companies have bragged about how they have managed to be ahead of the inflation curve, how they have managed to jack up prices more than their costs and as a result have delivered these record profits"


“Australia isn’t experiencing a wage-price spiral, it’s at the beginning of a price-profit spiral,” said Australia Institute chief economist, Dr Richard Denniss.

“The national accounts show it is rising profits, not rising costs, that are driving Australia’s inflation. While workers are being asked to make sacrifices in the name of controlling inflation, the data makes clear that it is the corporate sector that needs to tighten its belt.”

The report points out that wage growth was at record low levels, while the profit share was at a near-record share of GDP.” 

[The Guardian, 18 July 2022]




The Australia Institute, Are wages or profits driving Australia’s inflation? An analysis of the National Accounts, July 2022, excerpts:


Introduction


In recent months the role of wages in driving inflation has been frequently discussed, with many commentators expressing concern that Australia risks a ‘wage price spiral’.


For example:


Aggressive wages growth will only spur further inflation growth.”

Andrew Mackellar, CEO of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry

We are now at risk of a wages and inflation and interest rates death spiral.”

Innes Willox, CEO of Australian Industry Group

In the current circumstances, there is a clear risk that a high increase in wages without improved workplace productivity would fuel inflation and increase the likelihood of a steeper rise in interest rates to the detriment of growth and job creation.”

Innes Willox, CEO of Australian Industry Group


The fear that wage growth has, or could, play a significant role in Australia’s inflation typically ignores the fact that, as shown in Figure 1, real wage growth is at historically low levels and has been for some time.




While wage growth clearly has not been the driving force of recent increases in Australian inflation, or indeed inflation around the world, the continuing impact of COVID 19 and the sharp increase in global energy prices associated with Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine clearly have.


What causes inflation?


Inflation refers to an overall increase in the level of prices in an economy. According to the International Monetary Fund:


Inflation is the rate of increase in prices over a given period of time. Inflation is typically a broad measure, such as the overall increase in prices or the increase in the cost of living in a country.


While much is made of the link between increases in the costs of inputs (such as the price of oil) and increases in prices (such as the price of petrol) in fact many firms have a high degree of discretion about how much, if any, of an increase in costs they will pass on in the form of higher prices.


In short, if firms choose to absorb all of an increase in cost rather than increase prices the cost increases will lead to a reduction in profit not an increase in prices. Similarly, if firms pass on price increases that are more than enough to cover an increase in their production costs then profits will rise. In turn, macroeconomic data on economy-wide changes in prices and the share of GDP flowing to workers and profits can shed light on both the underlying sources of inflation and the distributional consequences of firms’ responses to rising production costs.


While spokespeople for large companies often suggest they have ‘no choice’ but to increase their prices when their costs increase not only do they have the choice to accept lower profits, a closer examination of their language makes clear that they face a range of choices.


For example, in attempting to explain how he had ‘no choice’ but to increase prices in his stores in early 2002, Gerry Harvey, the Executive Chairman of the retail chain Harvey Norman, actually made clear the range of choices he did face:


If a guy down the road drops the price, we drop the price,

If we drop the price, they drop the price.

But if it’s costing you all 10 per cent more than it was yesterday, they’re all going to put up their prices (because) they’ve got no choice.


Mr Harvey makes clear that his company is willing and able to choose to lower prices to match his competitors pricing, even in the absence of a change in cost. He also makes clear that he expects other firms not to absorb any increase in costs and that his firm and his competitors are all likely to increase their prices if costs increase by 10 percent, but it is not clear by how much his firm, or others, would chooses to increase their prices by.


Intriguingly, he ends this explanation by saying firms have no choice, even though all firms have different costs structures and his opening statement is that he would lower his price to match a cheaper offer by a competitor.


As all firms have slightly different cost structures, contract terms for inputs, bottoming costs and exposures to market rents it is inconceivable that all firms in any industry would experience identical changes in price and, in turn, the choices firms make about their price setting in response to changes in cost reflect both their current rates of profit and their willingness to gain or lose market share…..


In short, while in the long run firms must set prices sufficient to cover their costs of production, there is no direct link between costs of production and prices beyond the desire of firms to maintain, or increase, their profits. While firms in new industries seeking rapid growth often deliberately set their prices below their costs in, companies like Santos are currently enjoying a significant increase in price that is entirely unrelated to their cost of production.


Given that profits currently account for a record share of GDP there is simply no truth behind the assertion that the Australian corporate sector has ‘no choice’ but to pass on cost increases in full in the form of higher prices. Indeed, the rising profit share of GDP suggests that Australian firms have, for some time, been choosing to increase their prices faster than their costs have been rising. By definition this causes higher inflation…..


The European Central Bank’s analysis of the role of profits in driving inflation


In a recent speech, Isabel Schnabel, a member of the board of the European Central Bank, said “profits have recently been a key contributor to total domestic inflation” ……


Ms Schnabel went on to state that:


many firms have been able to expand their unit profits in an environment of global excess demand despite rising energy prices… The resilience of profits is particularly evident in those sectors most heavily exposed to global conditions, such as the industry and agricultural sector.


And:


To put it more provocatively, many euro area firms, though by no means all, have gained from the recent surge in inflation. The fortunes of businesses and households have diverged outside of the euro area, too, with corporate profits in many advanced economies surging over the past few quarters.


Poorer households are often hit particularly hard – not only do they suffer from historically high inflation reducing their real incomes, they also do not benefit from higher profits through stock holdings or other types of participation.…..


Australian results


The methodology used by the ECB to decompose recent shifts in price levels and attribute them to shifts in wages, profits and taxes can be applied to Australian data to show the contribution of each to inflation.


The Australia Institute applied the ECB method to annual data for the financial years 2005 to 2021 and quarterly data for June 2021 to March 2022 (the most recent quarter for which data is available). Annual data was used where possible to minimise the volatility in the underlying data caused by COVID-19 support payments affecting tax and subsidies.




The Australian data provides even more stark results than the ECB’s. Figure 5 shows that unit labour costs played almost no role in inflation (as measured by the GDP deflator) over the period 2013 to 2021 and had typically contributed less than half of the GDP deflator prior to 2013.


For the three quarters of data available for 2021–22, encompassing the current uptick in the CPI, labour costs have played an insignificant role, accounting for only 0.6 percentage points of the 4.1 percentage point increase in the GDP deflator (15 percent of the total).

Meanwhile profits have accounted for 2.5 percentage points of the increase in the GDP deflator (about 60 percent of the total).…..


Read the full 15 page report here.


Billionaire business owners and industry lobbyists have other ways of saying our profits are more important than people without ever mentioning the word. Here is a recent example.


ABC News, 17 July 2022:


Head of the Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Paul Guerra, welcomed the announcement but said the government must ensure it keeps the balance between supporting people in need and running the economy into debt.


"The federal government has told us the pandemic is not over," Mr Guerra said.


"The current wave seems to be stronger than we might have all first thought so we think it's a good thing that support is being provided there for those who are in need.


"That said, we'd like to make sure they come off as soon as the current risk is over so we can accelerate our way as we recover out of COVID."


BACKGROUND


Across the board record profit taking is not just an Australian phenomenon….


Political economist Assistant Professor Isabella M. Weber speaking on U.S. NPR radio program "All Things Considered", 13 February 2022:


Companies always want to maximize profits, right? In the current context, they suddenly cannot deliver as much anymore as they used to. And this creates an opening where they can say, well, we are facing increasing costs. We are facing all these issues. So we can explain to our customers that we are raising our prices. No one knows how much exactly these prices should be increased. And everybody has some sort of an understanding that, oh, yeah, there are issues, so, yes, of course companies are increasing prices in ways in which they could not justify in normal times.


But this does not mean that the actual amount of price increase is justified by the increase in costs. And as a matter of fact, what we have seen is that profits are skyrocketing, which means that companies have increased prices by more than cost. In the earnings reports, companies have bragged about how they have managed to be ahead of the inflation curve, how they have managed to jack up prices more than their costs and as a result have delivered these record profits. [my yellow highlighting]